Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 8.576510e-05 0.000103 0.000121 0.000141 0.000164 0.000188 0.000215
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 6.107228e-05 0.000082 0.000106 0.000135 0.000168 0.000205 0.000249
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.072656e-05 0.000074 0.000102 0.000136 0.000178 0.000225 0.000282
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.943646e-05 0.000063 0.000093 0.000132 0.000180 0.000237 0.000306
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.381154e-05 0.000058 0.000091 0.000134 0.000189 0.000254 0.000336
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.789519e-05 0.000053 0.000087 0.000133 0.000194 0.000268 0.000362
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.215833e-05 0.000046 0.000080 0.000129 0.000194 0.000274 0.000377
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.787574e-05 0.000041 0.000076 0.000127 0.000197 0.000284 0.000397
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.463540e-05 0.000037 0.000072 0.000126 0.000199 0.000293 0.000417
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.256479e-05 0.000035 0.000071 0.000127 0.000207 0.000308 0.000444
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.014559e-05 0.000031 0.000068 0.000126 0.000209 0.000317 0.000462
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 7.630151e-06 0.000027 0.000063 0.000121 0.000207 0.000320 0.000473
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 6.248905e-06 0.000025 0.000062 0.000124 0.000216 0.000338 0.000507
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.006452e-06 0.000021 0.000056 0.000118 0.000212 0.000341 0.000519
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.119081e-06 0.000019 0.000055 0.000119 0.000219 0.000357 0.000550
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.954878e-06 0.000016 0.000050 0.000115 0.000219 0.000362 0.000566
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.470166e-06 0.000015 0.000050 0.000117 0.000226 0.000379 0.000597
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 9.534305e-07 0.000013 0.000047 0.000117 0.000230 0.000391 0.000621
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.850262e-07 0.000011 0.000044 0.000113 0.000228 0.000395 0.000635
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.320494e-07 0.000009 0.000041 0.000111 0.000229 0.000402 0.000654
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.643358e-08 0.000008 0.000039 0.000109 0.000232 0.000412 0.000675
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.340808e-08 0.000007 0.000039 0.000111 0.000238 0.000427 0.000706
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.776111e-09 0.000006 0.000037 0.000110 0.000240 0.000435 0.000725